2040.
“We look forward to adding this next-generation capability to enhance the air superiority mission of the F-15.”
Confidence.
"But the F-35 was never supposed to replace the F-15"...
True.
But this is what DOD was hoping for years ago (about 2010).
A few problems with the chart. The first being history. The second being over-optimism in how many F-35s will be bought. Next that the F-35 is supposed to work. Note where they hoped F-15s and A-10s would drop. The F-22 will be lucky to last that long. Notice where they hope the FX comes in.
We have no credible fighter aircraft in development. The F-15 is a PDM (periodic depot maintenance jet) So that is at least something. And unlike the C, the F-15E came off the show-room floor with a 13k to 15k hour life. I suspect that you may see some of the early small-motor F-15Es go away.
By 2030, we don't have much of an air force in regard to tac-air.
Drones will have to pick up a bigger part of the mission slack. Unknown if they can handle air-to-air.
Yet.
So the F-35 being built by the thousand would have helped some, but it doesn't really work. F-22s have airframe fatigue issues; corrosion issues and who knows what else by the 2020s.
PDM F-15s out to 2040.
Awesome plan.
.
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